Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.002541 0.002698 0.002867 0.003062 0.003284 0.003530 0.003827
2025-04-20 0.002216 0.002413 0.002635 0.002907 0.003237 0.003632 0.004153
2025-04-27 0.002070 0.002298 0.002567 0.002912 0.003356 0.003927 0.004755
2025-05-04 0.001994 0.002253 0.002568 0.002991 0.003567 0.004365 0.005648
2025-05-11 0.001901 0.002175 0.002516 0.002989 0.003663 0.004657 0.006412
2025-05-18 0.001860 0.002156 0.002534 0.003078 0.003893 0.005187 0.007775
2025-05-25 0.001786 0.002087 0.002479 0.003057 0.003953 0.005454 0.008772
2025-06-01 0.001708 0.002008 0.002404 0.002997 0.003943 0.005595 0.009571
2025-06-08 0.001681 0.001994 0.002414 0.003064 0.004143 0.006167 0.011860
2025-06-15 0.001649 0.001970 0.002410 0.003105 0.004306 0.006713 0.014731
2025-06-22 0.001594 0.001913 0.002354 0.003060 0.004306 0.006911 0.016667
2025-06-29 0.001540 0.001854 0.002291 0.002998 0.004269 0.007016 0.018417
2025-07-06 0.001493 0.001806 0.002245 0.002966 0.004293 0.007303 0.022073
2025-07-13 0.001414 0.001709 0.002122 0.002801 0.004045 0.006848 0.020274
2025-07-20 0.001383 0.001679 0.002099 0.002799 0.004117 0.007259 0.026068
2025-07-27 0.001373 0.001678 0.002118 0.002869 0.004347 0.008206 0.046371
2025-08-03 0.001345 0.001651 0.002097 0.002867 0.004423 0.008740 0.079880
2025-08-10 0.001339 0.001655 0.002121 0.002949 0.004697 0.010136 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001311 0.001625 0.002091 0.002929 0.004736 0.010684 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001276 0.001585 0.002044 0.002874 0.004685 0.010828 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001268 0.001583 0.002059 0.002935 0.004928 0.012557 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001256 0.001575 0.002062 0.002974 0.005122 0.014345 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001229 0.001543 0.002025 0.002932 0.005095 0.014779 NaN